Lorenzo Musetti vs Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Carlos Alcaraz's second serve performance has been slightly weaker than Lorenzo Musetti's, with Alcaraz winning 46.18% of points compared to Musetti's 47.62% over the last six months. How might this influence the match? Lorenzo Musetti could have a slight edge here.
• Both players have similar success returning opponents' serves. Alcaraz wins 41.56% of points on opponents’ second serves, while Musetti slightly edges him out at 42.34%. Regarding first serve returns, Musetti also has a marginal advantage with 24.39% over Alcaraz’s 24.22%.
• Under pressure, Carlos Alcaraz saves more breakpoints (55.05%) versus Lorenzo Musetti’s 52.55%. This resilience could be a decisive factor during critical moments in the match.
• Over the past year, Carlos Alcaraz boasts a superior match win percentage at 88.61% compared to Lorenzo Musetti’s 67.16%.
• Alcaraz's standout surface is grass, where he holds a 90% win rate, while Musetti excels on clay with the same win percentage. Could the surface influence the match outcome? Alcaraz's overall adaptability on surfaces might offer an edge.
• In terms of playing level, Alcaraz has largely competed in Grand Slams, winning a significant 92.31% of his matches, whereas Musetti’s focus has been on the Masters series with a 67.86% success rate.
• In their head-to-head encounters, Alcaraz leads with seven victories out of eight matches against Musetti, indicating a strong psychological advantage.
• Alcaraz also outperforms in deciding sets, winning 80% of them over the past year, compared to Musetti's 57%.
• When converting breakpoints recently, Alcaraz shows greater proficiency at 30.26% compared to Musetti's 26.80%.
• The average opponent rank faced by Alcaraz is slightly tougher (48.9) than that of Musetti (50.61), suggesting a marginally higher level of competition.

Editorial Prediction (November 13, 2025, UTC):

Carlos Alcaraz and Lorenzo Musetti prepare to clash again, with nuanced stats painting a promising picture for Alcaraz. Despite a slight edge for Musetti in second serve effectiveness, Alcaraz demonstrates superior ability in critical return games and break-point saves, hinting at his potential resilience under pressure.

The head-to-head record overwhelmingly supports Alcaraz, as he has consistently prevailed in their past engagements. This psychological advantage complements his impressive overarching win rate, especially in Grand Slam competitions, underscoring his comfort on the big stage.

Moreover, Alcaraz's decisive win rate in three-set matches further tips the balance in his favor. While Musetti excels on clay, the match's setting could drift towards Alcaraz's strengths, particularly if the contest extends into greater depth.

Considering these elements, and a consistent edge across several key metrics, Carlos Alcaraz seems poised to claim victory in this anticipated tennis match.